Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious over Time? Intervention Timing and Its Implications for Force Planning

• 1. autor: Kavanagh, Jennifer (auth)
• Format: Elektroniczne Rozdział
• Język: angielski
• Wydane: RAND Corporation 2013
• Hasła przedmiotowe: Database design & theory; Defence strategy, planning & research; Probability & statistics; History; Statistics; Technology
• Dostęp online: DOAB: download the publication; DOAB: description of the publication

Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent...