Improving Bayesian Reasoning: What Works and Why?

• Main Author: Gorka Navarrete (auth)
• Other Authors: David R. Mandel (auth)
• Format: Electronic Book Chapter
• Language: English
• Published: Frontiers Media SA 2016
• Series: Frontiers Research Topics
• Subjects: Psychology; Risk Communication; human judgment; probabilistic judgment; subjective probability; psychological methods; belief revision; Bayesianism; Bayesian reasoning; individual differences
• Online Access: DOAB: download the publication; DOAB: description of the publication

We confess that the first part of our title is somewhat of a misnomer. Bayesian reasoning is a normative approach to probabilistic belief revision and, as such, it is in need of no improvement. Rather, it is the typical individual whose reasoning and judgments often fall short of the Bayesian ideal...