Using prediction polling to harness collective intelligence for disease forecasting

• Glavni autori: Tara Kirk Sell (Autor), Kelsey Lane Warmbrod (Autor), Crystal Watson (Autor), Marc Trotochaud (Autor), Elena Martin (Autor), Sanjana J. Ravi (Autor), Maurice Balick (Autor), Emile Servan-Schreiber (Autor)
• Format: Knjiga
• Izdano: BMC, 2021-11-01T00:00:00Z.
• Teme: article
• Online pristup: Connect to this object online.

Abstract Background The global spread of COVID-19 has shown that reliable forecasting of public health related outcomes is important but lacking. Methods We report the results of the first large-scale, long-term experiment in crowd-forecasting of infectious-disease outbreaks, where a total of 562 vo...