Using prediction polling to harness collective intelligence for disease forecasting

• Main Authors: Tara Kirk Sell (Author), Kelsey Lane Warmbrod (Author), Crystal Watson (Author), Marc Trotochaud (Author), Elena Martin (Author), Sanjana J. Ravi (Author), Maurice Balick (Author), Emile Servan-Schreiber (Author)
• Format: Book
• Published: BMC, 2021-11-01T00:00:00Z.
• Subjects: article
• Online Access: Connect to this object online.

Abstract Background The global spread of COVID-19 has shown that reliable forecasting of public health related outcomes is important but lacking. Methods We report the results of the first large-scale, long-term experiment in crowd-forecasting of infectious-disease outbreaks, where a total of 562 vo...