Unraveling the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the mortality trends in Belgium between 2020-2022
Abstract Background Over the past four years, the COVID-19 pandemic has exerted a profound impact on public health, including on mortality trends. This study investigates mortality patterns in Belgium by examining all-cause mortality, excess mortality, and cause-specific mortality. Methods We retrie...
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| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Book |
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BMC,
2024-10-01T00:00:00Z.
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| Summary: | Abstract Background Over the past four years, the COVID-19 pandemic has exerted a profound impact on public health, including on mortality trends. This study investigates mortality patterns in Belgium by examining all-cause mortality, excess mortality, and cause-specific mortality. Methods We retrieved all-cause mortality data from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2022, stratified by age group and sex. A linear mixed model, informed by all-cause mortality from 2009 to 2019, was used to predict non-pandemic all-cause mortality rates in 2020-2022 and estimate excess mortality. Further, we also analyzed trends in cause-specific and premature mortality. Results Different all-cause mortality patterns could be observed between the younger (<45 years) and older age groups. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic was particularly evident among older age groups. The highest excess mortality occurred in 2020, while a reversal in this trend was evident in 2022. We observed a notable effect of COVID-19 on cause-specific and premature mortality patterns over the three-year period. Conclusions Despite a consistent decline in COVID-19 reported mortality over this three-year period, it remains imperative to meticulously monitor mortality trends in the years ahead. |
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| Item Description: | 10.1186/s12889-024-20415-x 1471-2458 |