Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting

• Other Authors: Bengtsson, Tommy (Editor), Keilman, Nico (Editor)
• Format: Electronic Book Chapter
• Language: English
• Published: Cham Springer Nature 2019
• Series: Demographic Research Monographs
• Subjects: Social research & statistics; Population & demography; Political economy; Social sciences; Demography; Population; Statistics
• Online Access: OAPEN Library: download the publication; OAPEN Library: description of the publication

This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements. It contains a selection of previously unpublished and published papers, which together provide a state-of-the-art overview of statistical approaches as well as behavioural and biological perspectives. The different parts of the book provide discussions of current practice, probabilistic forecasting, the linearity in the increase of life expectancy, causes of death, and the role of cohort factors. The key question in the book is whether it is possible to project future mortality accurately, and if so, what is the best approach. This makes the book a valuable read to demographers, pension planners, actuaries, and all those interested and/or working in modelling and forecasting mortality.