Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error

Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of...

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Príomhchruthaitheoir: Pickl, Moritz (auth)
Formáid: Leictreonach Caibidil leabhair
Teanga:Béarla
Foilsithe / Cruthaithe: Karlsruhe, Germany KIT Scientific Publishing 2023
Sraith:Wissenschaftliche Berichte des Instituts für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung des Karlsruher Instituts für Technologie 42
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Achoimre:Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of WCBs in the context of ensemble forecasts: (1) sensitivities of WCBs to the representation of initial condition and model uncertainties, and (2) the role of WCBs for forecast error growth.
Cur síos fisiciúil:1 electronic resource (250 p.)
ISBN:KSP/1000150862
Rochtain:Open Access