Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error
Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of...
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| Autor principal: | |
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| Formato: | Recurso Electrónico Capítulo de Livro |
| Idioma: | inglês |
| Publicado em: |
Karlsruhe, Germany
KIT Scientific Publishing
2023
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| Colecção: | Wissenschaftliche Berichte des Instituts für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung des Karlsruher Instituts für Technologie
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| Assuntos: | |
| Acesso em linha: | DOAB: download the publication DOAB: description of the publication |
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| Resumo: | Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of WCBs in the context of ensemble forecasts: (1) sensitivities of WCBs to the representation of initial condition and model uncertainties, and (2) the role of WCBs for forecast error growth. |
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| Descrição Física: | 1 electronic resource (250 p.) |
| ISBN: | KSP/1000150862 |
| Acesso: | Open Access |