Low dispersion in the infectiousness of COVID-19 cases implies difficulty in control

• Main Authors: Daihai He (Author), Shi Zhao (Author), Xiaoke Xu (Author), Qiangying Lin (Author), Zian Zhuang (Author), Peihua Cao (Author), Maggie H. Wang (Author), Yijun Lou (Author), Li Xiao (Author), Ye Wu (Author), Lin Yang (Author)
• Format: Book
• Published: BMC, 2020-10-01T00:00:00Z.
• Subjects: article
• Online Access: Connect to this object online.

Abstract The individual infectiousness of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), quantified by the number of secondary cases of a typical index case, is conventionally modelled by a negative-binomial (NB) distribution. Based on patient data of 9120 confirmed cases in China, we calculated the variation...