Does the Spectrum model accurately predict trends in adult mortality? Evaluation of model estimates using empirical data from a rural HIV community cohort study in north-western Tanzania

• Main Authors: Denna Michael (Author), Chifundo Kanjala (Author), Clara Calvert (Author), Carel Pretorius (Author), Alison Wringe (Author), Jim Todd (Author), Balthazar Mtenga (Author), Raphael Isingo (Author), Basia Zaba (Author), Mark Urassa (Author)
• Format: Book
• Published: Taylor & Francis Group, 2014-01-01T00:00:00Z.
• Subjects: article
• Online Access: Connect to this object online.

Introduction: Spectrum epidemiological models are used by UNAIDS to provide global, regional and national HIV estimates and projections, which are then used for evidence-based health planning for HIV services. However, there are no validations of the Spectrum model against empirical serological and...