Forecast of the trend in incidence of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis in China from 2011-2019 using the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and Exponential Smoothing (ETS) models

• Главные авторы: Huan Liu (Автор), Chenxi Li (Автор), Yingqi Shao (Автор), Xin Zhang (Автор), Zhao Zhai (Автор), Xing Wang (Автор), Xinye Qi (Автор), Jiahui Wang (Автор), Yanhua Hao (Автор), Qunhong Wu (Автор), Mingli Jiao (Автор)
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• Опубликовано: Elsevier, 2020-02-01T00:00:00Z.
• Предметы: article
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Background: This study aimed to explore the demographic and distributive features of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis (AHC). We constructed seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) and exponential smoothing (ETS) models to predict its trend in incidence in mainland China and provid...