Forecast of the trend in incidence of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis in China from 2011-2019 using the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and Exponential Smoothing (ETS) models

• Main Authors: Huan Liu (Author), Chenxi Li (Author), Yingqi Shao (Author), Xin Zhang (Author), Zhao Zhai (Author), Xing Wang (Author), Xinye Qi (Author), Jiahui Wang (Author), Yanhua Hao (Author), Qunhong Wu (Author), Mingli Jiao (Author)
• Format: Book
• Published: Elsevier, 2020-02-01T00:00:00Z.
• Subjects: article
• Online Access: Connect to this object online.

Background: This study aimed to explore the demographic and distributive features of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis (AHC). We constructed seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) and exponential smoothing (ETS) models to predict its trend in incidence in mainland China and provid...