The Quixotic Task of Forecasting Peaks of COVID-19: Rather Focus on Forward and Backward Projections

• Egile Nagusiak: Ruy Freitas Reis (Egilea), Rafael Sachetto Oliveira (Egilea), Bárbara de Melo Quintela (Egilea), Joventino de Oliveira Campos (Egilea), Johnny Moreira Gomes (Egilea), Bernardo Martins Rocha (Egilea), Marcelo Lobosco (Egilea), Rodrigo Weber dos Santos (Egilea)
• Formatua: Liburua
• Argitaratua: Frontiers Media S.A., 2021-03-01T00:00:00Z.
• Gaiak: article
• Sarrera elektronikoa: Connect to this object online.

Over the last months, mathematical models have been extensively used to help control the COVID-19 pandemic worldwide. Although extremely useful in many tasks, most models have performed poorly in forecasting the pandemic peaks. We investigate this common pitfall by forecasting four countries' p...