Improving early epidemiological assessment of emerging Aedes-transmitted epidemics using historical data.

• Main Authors: Julien Riou (Author), Chiara Poletto (Author), Pierre-Yves Boëlle (Author)
• Format: Knjiga
• Izdano: Public Library of Science (PLoS), 2018-06-01T00:00:00Z.
• Teme: article
• Online dostop: Connect to this object online.

Model-based epidemiological assessment is useful to support decision-making at the beginning of an emerging Aedes-transmitted outbreak. However, early forecasts are generally unreliable as little information is available in the first few incidence data points. Here, we show how past Aedes-transmitte...