Forecasted trends in disability and life expectancy in England and Wales up to 2025: a modelling study

• 主要な著者: Dr Maria Guzman-Castillo, PhD (著者), Sara Ahmadi-Abhari, PhD (著者), Piotr Bandosz, PhD (著者), Prof Simon Capewell, DSc (著者), Prof Andrew Steptoe, DSc (著者), Prof Archana Singh-Manoux, PhD (著者), Prof Mika Kivimaki, PhD (著者), Martin J Shipley, MSc (著者), Prof Eric J Brunner, PhD (著者), Prof Martin O'Flaherty, PhD (著者)
• フォーマット: 図書
• 出版事項: Elsevier, 2017-07-01T00:00:00Z.
• 主題: article
• オンライン･アクセス: Connect to this object online.

Background: Reliable estimation of future trends in life expectancy and the burden of disability is crucial for ageing societies. Previous forecasts have not considered the potential impact of trends in disease incidence. The present prediction model combines population trends in cardiovascular dise...