Real-time forecasting of COVID-19 spread according to protective behavior and vaccination: autoregressive integrated moving average models

• Main Authors: Chieh Cheng (Author), Wei-Ming Jiang (Author), Byron Fan (Author), Yu-Chieh Cheng (Author), Ya-Ting Hsu (Author), Hsiao-Yu Wu (Author), Hsiao-Han Chang (Author), Hsiao-Hui Tsou (Author)
• Format: Book
• Published: BMC, 2023-08-01T00:00:00Z.
• Subjects: article
• Online Access: Connect to this object online.

Abstract Background Mathematical and statistical models are used to predict trends in epidemic spread and determine the effectiveness of control measures. Automatic regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models are used for time-series forecasting, but only few models of the 2019 coronavirus d...