Representation of warm conveyor belts in sub-seasonal forecast models and the link to Atlantic-European weather regimes

• Autor principal: Wandel, Jan Lucas (auth)
• Formato: Recurso Eletrônico Capítulo de Livro
• Idioma: inglês
• Publicado em: KIT Scientific Publishing 2023
• coleção: Wissenschaftliche Berichte des Instituts für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung des Karlsruher Instituts für Technologie 43
• Assuntos: Physics; numerische Wettervorhersage; synoptisch-skalige Prozesse; Warm conveyor belts; blockierende Hochdruckwetterlagen; sub-saisonale Zeitskalen; numerical weather prediction; synoptic-scale processes; warm conveyor belts; atmospheric blocking; sub-seasonal time scales
• Acesso em linha: OAPEN Library: download the publication; OAPEN Library: description of the publication

Resumo

This study systematically investigates the representation of warm conveyor belts (WCBs) in large reforecast data sets of different numerical weather prediction models and evaluates the role of WCBs for the onset and life cycle of Atlantic-European weather regimes. The results emphasize the importance of accurate forecast of WCBs for sub-seasonal prediction on time scales beyond two weeks and tie the low forecast skill of blocked weather regimes over Europe to misrepresented WCBs.

Descrição Física

1 electronic resource (256 p.)

ISBN

KSP/1000151831

Acesso

Open Access